Towards Predictive Digital Twins in an Offshore Wind Blade Factory

Impact case study

Towards Predictive Digital Twins in an Offshore Wind Blade Factory

Ewan Norris

Ewan is a Cohort 3 doctoral researcher with the EPSRC/NERC CDT in Offshore Wind Energy and the Environment, hosted by the University of Sheffield in partnership with Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy.

Ewan’s research focus is on building models updated by live data to better understand the manufacturing process for offshore wind turbine blades.

Supervisors:

Prof Peter Osborne, Professor of Advanced Manufacturing, University of Sheffield Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre 

Prof James Gilbert, Director of the Energy and Environment Institute, University of Hull

Prof David Wagg, Professor of Nonlinear Dynamics, University of Sheffield

Dr Steven Balding, Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy

Ewan Norris, Aura CDT Cohort 3 researcher

The Challenge

The UK has ambitious targets for 50GW of wind by 2030. These targets require a massive increase in the rate of installation of offshore wind, going from installing less than 1.5GW per year to 4.5 GW per year.

Meeting these targets requires changes across the whole offshore wind industry, including the manufacture of turbine blades which could prove a bottleneck in the supply chain. To help enable the sector to meet these targets work is being done to reduce manufacturing inefficiencies in the production process.

Loading blades onto a ship at the Siemens Gamesa factory in Hull.

A 2024 report from the Institute for Public Policy Research showed that hitting 2050 targets would require building turbines 3x faster than current levels: "A second wind: Maximising the economic opportunity for UK wind manufacturing"

The Approach

To begin the project, we needed to establish what the biggest inefficiency in the process is. To do this, structured interviews were carried out with staff from the Siemens Gamesa factory in Hull. The results from these interviews showed that waiting, wasted time due to a slowed or stopped process, was the most reported inefficiency. To better understand how this waiting was occurring and how to mitigate it, a factory simulation that captures how the process occurs was proposed.

To build this model, an agent-based modelling approach is being used. To ensure that the final factory model can be trusted, each part of the process needs to be individually created and checked in isolation. To do this, a part of the process is modelled in mesa, an agent-based modelling package for python, and a mathematical model for how that part of the process should behave is created. The simulation model is then checked against the mathematical model to ensure that the correct behaviour is being carried out.

Following the creation of the final factory model, the accuracy must be checked and the model updated accordingly. To do this, historical production data from Siemens Gamesa is being used to compare the model outputs to real scenarios. The model will be updated accordingly to reflect the real production process. Once the model can be shown to behave as expected and reflect real life scenarios, it can be used to test the impact of different constraints on the production process to build a framework of how the Siemens factory behaves under changing conditions.

Siemens Gamesa Renewable Energy Port and Factory for wind turbine blade production

Key stages:

Align project with industry needs through interviews.

Ensure rigour of modelling approach.

Create accurate model through digital twin methodology.

Build a framework to better understand blade manufacture.

The Impact

Through this project we hope to showcase how complex manufacturing systems can be modelled through simple methods. By doing so we hope to open the door to factory digital twins that can predict waiting times and help to steer the production process towards more efficient pathways. This work hopes to help Siemens Gamesa retain their quality while meeting the needs of the wider industry. 

Work on interviewing Siemens staff was presented via poster at WindEurope 2024 and forms part of the wider collaboration between Siemens, the Aura CDT and the University of Sheffield.

Aura CDT researcher Ewan Norris introduces their research

Further information on Ewan Norris' research

For an informal discussion, call +44 (0) 1482 463331
or contact auracdt@hull.ac.uk